Posted: Thursday October 11, 2012 11:39AM ; Updated: Thursday October 11, 2012 8:14PM
Peter King
Peter King>WEEKEND PICKOFF

NFL Week 6
 
Last Week: 12-2 (.857); This Season: 43-34 (.558)
 
Sunday, Oct. 14
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Oakland Raiders (1-3) at Atlanta Falcons (5-0)
The Falcons are 5-0 for the first time in team history. I haven't done all the math yet, but I believe they will also be 6-0 for the first time in team history.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) Dallas Cowboys (2-2) at Baltimore Ravens (4-1)
In the inexorable battle with the .500 plateau -- the Cowboys are 98-98 in the regular season in this century -- the Ravens push Dallas back on the wrong side. The Ravens take a 13-game home win streak into this one, and if I had a little more faith in Romo-to-Bryant, I'd pick Dallas to break that.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Cincinnati Bengals (3-2) at Cleveland Browns (0-5)
I want to find a reason to pick Cleveland, because one of these weeks the Browns will stiffen on defense, particularly with Joe Haden back. But 940 yards allowed the last two weeks? That's not all because a good corner's been missing. And nine interceptions from Brandon Weeden? The Browns are just too mistake-prone now.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) St. Louis Rams (3-2) at Miami Dolphins (2-3)
Anyone who thought these two teams, meeting in Week 6, would have a combined .500 record must also believe in my picks. Imagine if the Dolphins had won the two games they lost by three points, with a big assist to a misfiring kicker: With this win, they'd be 5-1 and a game ahead of the mighty Patriots entering Week 7.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Indianapolis Colts (2-2) at New York Jets (2-3)
I keep trying to figure out why the Jets dealt for Tim Tebow. My cynical side says it's about attention and tickets and back pages. My football side says he's a guy who can help them win, and for some reason, Rex Ryan and Tony Sparano aren't letting him. Monday night, fullback Lex Hilliard played 30 snaps and Tebow played 14 (six touches, 19 yards, by the way, in the loss to Houston). Yes, different positions, different jobs, blah, blah, blah. You see how Tebow picked up two blitzes the previous week against San Francisco? For a team as beat up and offensively inept as the Jets, Tebow should be used on half the offensive snaps, in every position possible. He should be playing series, not individual snaps. Don't the Jets see the season slipping away? Forget the confidence of Mark Sanchez. Play to win, not to nurture some guy you're not sure will be your quarterback of the future anyway.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX) Detroit Lions (1-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-2)
Alternate Universe Stat of the Week: Stafford/Vick totals: nine touchdowns, 10 interceptions. But this could be -- could being the operative word, because monitoring vital safety Louis Delmas' health is an exercise in futility -- the week the important Lions safety returns, nine weeks after camp knee surgery. The Lions hoped he'd be ready to play on opening day, and they've been hoping since. Delmas is Detroit's Ronnie Lott, both in spirit and in the anvil in his shoulder pads, so if he's back at anything close to normal, the Lions will finally be competitive in the back end.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS) Kansas City Chiefs (1-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3)
Two teams with quarterbacks on trial. Looks like Brady Quinn starts for the first time in four years in place of the concussed Matt Cassel (a blessed relief for Romeo Crennel, who was going to have to bench the eternally slumping Cassel anyway), while the regressing Josh Freeman (54.6 completion percentage) needs to be better. That starts with converting on more than 16 of 38 targets to the $11-million-a-year receiver, Vincent Jackson.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (CBS) Buffalo Bills (2-3) at Arizona Cardinals (4-1)
Just read this on the NFL's weekly release, and it deserves noting: Adrian Wilson (170 games) passed Hall of Famer and legendary safety Larry Wilson (169) on the career list of games played for the Cards last week. At that position, and playing as forcefully as Wilson does, that's one heck of an accomplishment. And I say he goes out this week and throws three good safety blitzes at Ryan Fitzpatrick to celebrate.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (CBS) New England Patriots (3-2) at Seattle Seahawks (3-2)
Tom Brady's first, and probably last, trip to Seattle to play football ends in disappointment. Bruce Irvin's the reason. This is going to be a speed game, with the Patriots continuing to race to lead the league in offensive plays, and Irvin, the fastest speed-rusher in football, will have the advantage of playing in the cacophonous CenturyLink Field. The last time the Seahawks played at home, the Green Bay line couldn't handle the speed of the Seattle defense and the noise, and eight first-half sacks resulted. Not saying it'll be the same here, but the Patriots will struggle blocking the speed demons, led by Irvin, rushing for Seattle.
 
4:25 p.m. ET (FOX) New York Giants (3-2) at San Francisco 49ers (4-1)
Eli Manning's 24-5 in October, and anyone who thinks that can't continue against the hottest team in football is nuts. I watched Manning in Candlestick last January play as well as a battered quarterback could play, keeping the Giants in a game they had no business winning -- and though I like the Niners here, I don't think it'll be a rout. San Francisco has too many weapons for a battered secondary to shut down. This time, it won't come down to a muffed punt.
 
4:25 p.m. ET (FOX) Minnesota Vikings (4-1) at Washington Redskins (2-3)
Like Christian Ponder. Love Robert Griffin III, who should be clear-headed enough to play and run away from Jared Allen.
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) Green Bay Packers (2-3) at Houston Texans (5-0)
File this in desperate-team-plays-better-especially-against-team-coming-off-short-week category. The Texans have to adjust to the loss of inside 'backer and signal-caller Brian Cushing, out for the season with a torn ACL suffered Monday night, and that will provide a hiccup or two to overcome. I say the Pack will have an easier time overcoming the Cedric Benson loss -- as long as Aaron Rodgers can evade a terrific rush.
 
Monday, Oct. 15
 
8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) Denver Broncos (2-3) at San Diego Chargers (3-2)
With all the howling about Peyton Manning being finished, with crappy velocity and even worse spirals, this note: He's on pace to throw for more yards, 4,797, than he has in any season, with his second-most touchdowns, 35. Just, you know, for the record.
 

 
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